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  • Early and Real-Time Detection of Seasonal Influenza Onset
    Publication . Won, Miguel; Marques-Pita, Manuel; Louro, Carlota; Gonçalves-Sá, Joana
    Every year, influenza epidemics affect millions of people and place a strong burden on health care services. A timely knowledge of the onset of the epidemic could allow these services to prepare for the peak. We present a method that can reliably identify and signal the influenza outbreak. By combining official Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) incidence rates, searches for ILI-related terms on Google, and an on-call triage phone service, Saúde 24, we were able to identify the beginning of the flu season in 8 European countries, anticipating current official alerts by several weeks. This work shows that it is possible to detect and consistently anticipate the onset of the flu season, in real-time, regardless of the amplitude of the epidemic, with obvious advantages for health care authorities. We also show that the method is not limited to one country, specific region or language, and that it provides a simple and reliable signal that can be used in early detection of other seasonal diseases.
    2017-02-03Journal article Open access Show more
  • Author Correction: Human Sexual Cycles are Driven by Culture and Match Collective Moods
    Publication . Wood, Ian B.; Varela, Pedro L.; Bollen, Johan; Rocha, Luis M.; Gonçalves-Sá, Joana
    A correction to this article has been published and is linked from the HTML and PDF versions of this paper. The error has not been fixed in the paper.
    2018-03-02Journal article Open access Show more